经济EconomyAwaiting resolution
Will China's Q3 2026 GDP growth come in above 5.0%?
64% chance1 traders
Vol 10 USDGb 9,000
Year-on-year real GDP in the National Bureau of Statistics quarterly release, 18 Oct 2026.
见事如神Prediction markets · China
Trade what happens next in China
Real USDG on Robinhood Chain mainnet. Every price is a live LMSR quote from the treasury book, and you can close out whenever you like.
33Open markets11USDG traded
经济EconomyFeatured · 焦点Awaiting resolution
Will China's Q3 2026 GDP growth come in above 5.0%?
Year-on-year real GDP in the National Bureau of Statistics quarterly release, 18 Oct 2026.
64%
10Volume USDG1Traders1PositionsClosedTo close · Oct 18, 2026b 9,000LMSR liquidity
Open markets
Every market names the public source it resolves against. Prices are live LMSR quotes from the treasury book, not decoration.
经济Economy79d left
Will full-year 2026 retail sales growth exceed 4.5%?
49% chance1 traders
Vol 1 USDGb 6,000
NBS annual total retail sales of consumer goods, released Jan 2027.
经济Economy74d left
Will any month of 2026 print a negative year-on-year CPI?
38% chance0 traders
Vol 0 USDGb 5,000
NBS monthly CPI release. Resolves Yes on the first sub-zero YoY print.
经济Economy62d left
Will urban youth unemployment (16-24, ex-students) top 17% before 2027?
44% chance0 traders
Vol 0 USDGb 4,000
NBS monthly survey-based youth unemployment series.
经济Economy62d left
Will USD/CNY close below 7.20 on the last trading day of 2026?
52% chance0 traders
Vol 0 USDGb 7,000
CFETS onshore closing rate, 31 Dec 2026.
经济Economy51d left
Will new-home prices in all 70 surveyed cities stop falling in any 2026 month?
19% chance0 traders
Vol 0 USDGb 4,000
NBS 70-city new residential building sales price index.
政策PolicyAwaiting resolution
Will the PBOC cut the 1-year LPR at the October 2026 fixing?
27% chance0 traders
Vol 0 USDGb 8,000
PBOC Loan Prime Rate announcement, 20 Oct 2026.
政策Policy62d left
Will the PBOC cut the reserve requirement ratio in Q4 2026?
58% chance0 traders
Vol 0 USDGb 6,000
PBOC official RRR announcement between 1 Oct and 31 Dec 2026.
政策Policy244d left
Will any tier-1 city materially loosen hukou rules before July 2027?
31% chance0 traders
Vol 0 USDGb 3,500
State Council or municipal government published policy, per Xinhua.
持仓Your positions
Connect a wallet to see positions. Deposits and payouts are plain USDG transfers on Robinhood Chain, so everything here is verifiable on the explorer.
成交Settled trades
On chain| Trader | Market | Side | USDG | Price | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 雷0x0a27…ec79 | Will full-year 2026 retail sales growth exceed 4.5%? | Yes | 1.00 | 49.0¢ | 40d |
| 雷0x0a27…ec79 | Will China's Q3 2026 GDP growth come in above 5.0%? | Yes | 10.00 | 64.0¢ | 47d |
金库Treasury
Treasury key is not configured on this deployment. Deposits are disabled until it is.
玩法How it works
一
Connect on Robinhood Chain
Chain ID 4663, ETH for gas. The app will add the network to your wallet if it does not have it.
二
Your USDG goes to the treasury
Buying sends a plain USDG transfer from your wallet to the treasury address. The position is credited only after the server reads that transfer back off the chain.
三
Prices move with real flow
Quotes come from an LMSR book, so your own size moves the price. Nothing here is a fixed payout table.
四
Close to get USDG back
Sign a message to prove the wallet is yours and the treasury transfers your position value back. Funds return to the depositing address only.